Substitutes or Complements? Role Systems and Culture as Sources of Predictive Knowledge for Coordination
SocArXiv preprint, 2026
When culturally diverse workers must coordinate, the prevailing design prescription is structural: make roles predictable and couple them tightly, so that workers can anticipate one another from the role system rather than from a common background. Implicit in this prescription is that structural and cultural sources of anticipation are interchangeable. I argue that the substitution holds only for routine coordination, because structure and culture supply predictive knowledge of different kinds: role systems generate scripted anticipation, which sustains routine exchange, whereas a shared cultural background generates communicative anticipation: the common ground partners need to renegotiate coordination in real time. I test this argument with passing data from professional European soccer. Across roughly five million directed dyad-match observations, shared official language predicts higher pass rates between teammates, but the advantage concentrates in dyads whose roles are behaviorally unpredictable and loosely coupled, precisely where structure offers little anticipatory support. For coordination flexibility, the pattern reverses: behavioral predictability does not moderate the cultural advantage, and tight role coupling amplifies it. Structural and cultural anticipation thus substitute for routine exchange but complement each other for flexible variation. Organizations that pair culturally diverse workforces with rigid structures may run efficiently on routine tasks while remaining poorly equipped to adapt.
Recommended citation: Strahringer, L. (2026). Substitutes or Complements? Role Systems and Culture as Sources of Predictive Knowledge for Coordination. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/wpy8g_v2. https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/wpy8g_v2
